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Winner Prediction of Blood Bowl 2 Matches with Binary Classification
Malmö University, Faculty of Technology and Society (TS).
2019 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Being able to predict the outcome of a game is useful in many aspects. Such as, to aid designers in the process of understanding how the game is played by the players, as well as how to be able to balance the elements within the game are two of those aspects. If one could predict the outcome of games with certainty the design process could possibly be evolved into more of an experiment based approach where one can observe cause and effect to some degree. It has previously been shown that it is possible to predict outcomes of games to varying degrees of success. However, there is a lack of research which compares and evaluates several different models on the same domain with common aims. To narrow this identified gap an experiment is conducted to compare and analyze seven different classifiers within the same domain. The classifiers are then ranked on accuracy against each other with help of appropriate statistical methods. The classifiers compete on the task of predicting which team will win or lose in a match of the game Blood Bowl 2. For nuance three different datasets are made for the models to be trained on. While the results vary between the models of the various datasets the general consensus has an identifiable pattern of rejections. The results also indicate a strong accuracy for Support Vector Machine and Logistic Regression across all the datasets.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Malmö universitet/Teknik och samhälle , 2019. , p. 80
Keywords [en]
Machine learning, Binary classification, Blood Bowl 2, Predict winner, Outcome prediction, Supervised learning, Match prediction
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-20368Local ID: 29895OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mau-20368DiVA, id: diva2:1480241
Educational program
TS Computer Science, Master Programme
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2020-10-27 Created: 2020-10-27Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
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  • asciidoc
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