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A survey on the use of computational models for ex ante analysis of urban transport policy instruments
Malmö högskola, School of Technology (TS).
Malmö högskola, School of Technology (TS).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0998-6585
Malmö högskola, School of Technology (TS).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9471-8405
2014 (English)In: Procedia Computer Science, E-ISSN 1877-0509, no 32, p. 348-355Article in journal (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper provides an analysis of the use of computational models for predicting the effects of different policy instruments on urban transport systems. We define a framework for describing and comparing current approaches that takes into account (i) what policy instruments are studied, (ii) what type of effects are predicted, (iii) which factors are modeled, (iv) the type of model used, and (v) what data sources are used. The main conclusions of the analysis are: (i) despite the recognized potential of agent-based modeling to study behavioural change of a population, it rarely has been used for ex-ante analysis of policy instruments using real-world data, (ii) some factors that influence travellers’ decisions, such as comfort and departure time, have not been considered much in the modeling, (iii) ex-ante analysis of economic instruments constitute the majority of studies, but informative instruments have been recently considered due to the increasing use of information technology in transportation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2014. no 32, p. 348-355
Keywords [en]
Survey, Policy instruments, Computational models, Travel behaviour, Ex ante analysis
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-16050DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2014.05.434ISI: 000361562600042Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84902660975Local ID: 17271OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mau-16050DiVA, id: diva2:1419572
Conference
Ambient Systems, Networks and Technologies (ANT), Hasselt, Belgium (2014)
Available from: 2020-03-30 Created: 2020-03-30 Last updated: 2024-02-05Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. A Dynamic Approach to Multi-Agent-Based Simulation in Urban Transportation Planning
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A Dynamic Approach to Multi-Agent-Based Simulation in Urban Transportation Planning
2018 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

Reviewing previous studies on using computational models for analyzing the effect of transport policies on transportation systems shows that agentbased models have not been used much in spite of their great potential for simulating dynamic aspects of policy instruments and travel behavior. The main reason can be the need for a lot of input data which is hard to prepare for the modeler. This has led to limited use of agent-based models in previous studies and even in those studies the scope of simulation is limited to only particular scenarios. In this thesis, I proposed a general-purpose agent-based simulation model for urban transportation that supports simulation of a wide range of policy instruments. The proposed model is designed in a way that a large part of the input data can be generated automatically using online web-services. The thesis also reports an empirical study on using our proposed generalpurpose model together with on-line travel planners in agent-based simulation for predicting the effect of different policy instruments on travel behavior. The results from our empirical study showed that our generalpurpose agent-based model predicts 72% of the real travel decisions correctly. Furthermore, the results of the simulation for various scenarios and combination of them seem to be acceptable. Finally, we found out that the use of on-line services for data collection increases the speed and flexibility of the system for defining and running new scenarios. However, the scalability of using on-line services in simulation is constrained by limitations of online service providers. The main contributions of this thesis are a general-purpose agentbased simulation model for urban transportation and a novel approach to automatically generate input data to the simulation using online travel planners and other web-services. This novel approach mitigates the challenge of agent-based simulation as a data-intensive method. This can lead to more widespread use for agent-based simulation in solving complex and realistic transportation scenarios. Another contribution of this thesis is on visualization of simulation output. One of the main challenges of using simulation systems by transport planners and decision makers as end-users is to understand the complex output of the simulation. In this thesis, I empirically demonstrated how the usability of a freight transport simulation system is improved by adding a visualization module that illustrates the results of the simulation for the end-users.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Malmö university, Faculty of Technology and Society, 2018. p. 43
Series
Studies in Computer Science ; 5
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-7771 (URN)10.24834/2043/24881 (DOI)24881 (Local ID)9789171049247 (ISBN)9789171049254 (ISBN)24881 (Archive number)24881 (OAI)
Public defence
2018-06-14, B2, Niagara, Malmö, 13:00 (English)
Opponent
Note

Vid tidpunkten för disputationen var följande delarbete opublicerat: delarbete V (manuskript).

At the time of the doctoral defence the following paper was unpublished: paper V (manuscript).

Available from: 2020-02-28 Created: 2020-02-28 Last updated: 2024-03-14Bibliographically approved

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fulltext(360 kB)213 downloads
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Publisher's full textScopushttp://cs-conferences.acadiau.ca/ant-14/http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050914006346

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Hajinasab, BanafshehDavidsson, PaulPersson, Jan A.

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