Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>2024 (engelsk)Inngår i: JASSS: Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, E-ISSN 1460-7425, Vol. 27, nr 4, artikkel-id 4Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]
This paper explores the topic of model credibility of Agent-based Models and how they should be evaluated prior to application in policy-making. Specifically, this involves analyzing bordering literature from different fields to: (1) establish a definition of model credibility -- a measure of confidence in the model's inferential capability -- and to (2) assess how model credibility can be strengthened through Verification, Validation, and Accreditation (VV&A) prior to application, as well as through post-application evaluation. Several studies have highlighted severe shortcomings in how V&V of Agent-based Models is performed and documented, and few public administrations have an established process for model accreditation. To address the first issue, we examine the literature on model V&V and, based on this review, introduce and outline the usage of a V&V plan. To address the second issue, we take inspiration from a practical use case of model accreditation applied by a government institution to propose a framework for the accreditation of ABMs for policy-making. The paper concludes with a discussion of the risks associated with improper assessments of model credibility.
sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
European Social Simulation Association, 2024
Emneord
Policy-Modelling, Model Credibility, Accreditation, VV&A, Agent-Based Modelling & Simulation, ABM4Policy
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-71919 (URN)10.18564/jasss.5505 (DOI)001349760200002 ()2-s2.0-85209081992 (Scopus ID)
2024-11-052024-11-052024-12-17bibliografisk kontrollert