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Near-repeat burglary patterns in Malmö: Stability and change over time
Malmö University, Faculty of Health and Society (HS), Department of Criminology (KR).
Malmö University, Faculty of Health and Society (HS), Department of Criminology (KR).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2145-113X
2019 (English)In: European Journal of Criminology, ISSN 1477-3708, E-ISSN 1741-2609, Vol. 16, no 1, p. 3-17Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [sv]

Efter att grannen har haft inbrott ökar risken att drabbas. Denna studie beräknar dessa samband för sex år i Malmö och finner att sambanden uppvisar både stabilitet och förändring.

Abstract [en]

It is well established that previous crime events are valuable indicators for the prediction of future crime. Near-repeat burglaries are incidents that occur in close proximity in space and time to an initial burglary. The current study analyses near-repeat victimization patterns in Malmö, Sweden’s third-largest city. The data, provided by the local police, cover a six-year time frame from 2009 to 2014. The complete dataset, as well as each year’s individual dataset, was analysed using Ratcliffe’s Near Repeat Calculator version 1.3. Results reveal significant near-repeat victimization patterns. For the full dataset, an observed/expected ratio of 2.83 was identified for the first week after an initial incident and an area of 100 metres surrounding the original burglary. Separate analyses of each individual year reveal both similarities and differences between years. Some years manifest near-repeat patterns at longer spatial and temporal distances, indicating a need for further studies on the variability of near repeats. Preventive strategies that include both private and public actors need to be intensified and focused on the first two weeks after a burglary.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2019. Vol. 16, no 1, p. 3-17
Keywords [en]
near repeat, burglary
National Category
Social Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:mau:diva-5222DOI: 10.1177/1477370817751382ISI: 000455401500001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85059144813Local ID: 25456OAI: oai:DiVA.org:mau-5222DiVA, id: diva2:1402076
Available from: 2020-02-28 Created: 2020-02-28 Last updated: 2024-11-19Bibliographically approved

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Gerell, Manne

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